Seven Years of Plenty

[Anders G]

Tim (or any other who wants to share some thoughts on the matter),
It would be interesting to know your views about what is happening today in America with Charlie Kirk’s death and his movement Turning Point USA.

On the one hand, I know you are reluctant to mix politics with evangelization, but on the other hand it may fit well into your previous thoughts about the Seven Years of Plenty (in the article on your forum from February 13, 2025). There – you speculated – the seven years of plenty would begin with something special happening in America (a ”turning point”) around Rosh Hashana on the 24:th of September. As you know, Charlie Kirk’s unprecedented(?) memorial service was held on the 21:st of September.

Could this be the signal of the start of the Seven Years of Plenty?
/Anders

[Timothy]

Anders,

I haven’t posted anything about Charlie Kirk and the recent events because I am not sure yet of the significance. On one hand, I am glad to see the Gospel proclaimed, young Christians being bold about their faith, and young people being more interested in Christianity. At the same time, I am very skeptical of “Christian Nationalism,” primarily because of its history (think Rome and Constantine, or Switzerland and Calvin), how it corrupts the true Gospel with politics, and turns Christians (who are supposed to be the ones persecuted) into the persecutors. Just look at the major figures involved in the push for Christian Nationalism, which includes some pretty shady false “prophets” and false “apostles.” Following Jesus’ example, and His statement about being sent as “sheep among wolves,” gets turned completely upside-down in “Christian Nationalism.” Christ’s Kingdom will not be brought about by political activism. Just as Jesus said about money, “You cannot serve two masters,” the same holds true with pursuing God and politics. Yet God can and will use this for His ultimate purpose (which remains to be seen).

I do believe “Turning Point USA” is indeed exactly where we are in this nation at this moment in history, and it is aptly named. It will definitely be used by God in a very significant way for His purposes. The question which remains unanswered in my mind is whether God’s purpose is to use this movement as a catalyst to prepare the USA for the preservation of His people, or as a catalyst to bring purging through unprecedented persecution of God’s people as it incites the Left and the kingdom of darkness. So I am taking a “wait and see” approach for now.

I am also watching what is going on in Europe and Russia, as I am expecting the current situation to bring about the rise of the 10 kings within the next few years.

I am also taking a “wait and see” approach to possibly identifying the first of the 4 Horsemen of the Apocalypse, as I have my suspicions. What Trump is doing in the middle east and with the “Abraham Accords” right now (during the fall feasts) is of much more significance IMO.
https://www.breitbart.com/middle-east/2025/09/30/trump-gaza-plan-wins-support-of-arab-muslim-world-and-palestinian-authority/

As you know, the fall feasts begin and end the annual cycles, as counting from creation, so the 6k years begin and end in the fall, and Christ’s Kingdom will come during this time of year. IMO, we should be paying very close attention to all three of these situations right now.

Grace & Peace, Tim

[Peter C]

Hi Anders,

This will be a bit of a different perspective perhaps than you were hoping for. I hope no one minds. I also hope the post goes through as well as I have sent several comments to other posts on the blog and they didn’t make it.

Firstly, I do not offer this information as a form of investment advice or encouragement to invest. My aim is strictly in relation to the 7 years of plenty, which may well be now and is likely ending soon. Based on previous history it is likely to start in 2026, possibly 2027. We will see.

The 18.6 Year Property [Land] Cycle.

There exists a cycle in the economy of the USA (and other western societies) that has been occurring since 1776. The United States leads this cycle. It also dates back to the 1600’s in the UK.

The cycle is called the 18.6 year property cycle. (The shortest on record is 17 years, with the longest being 21 years).

Phil Anderson from Australia, intensively studied this cycle back in the 90’s in various libraries in the USA for many years. Others have also written about this. Including Dr Homer Hoyt a US economist and real estate speculator.

He identified the 18-year real estate cycle in his dissertation 100 Years of Land Values in Chicago (1833–1933) (published December 1933).
Others include Fred Harrison from the UK, Mason Gaffney USA and Akhil Patel of the UK.

The Cycle Basics

Each 18.6-year cycle consists of an average 14 years up and then four years down.

Each 14 years up can further be broken into two parts. Each one lasted around seven years, split by a mid- cycle slowdown or recession. The economy grows steadily during these phases.

The final two years of the 14 years up we call the “Winner’s Curse” period. During this time the animal spirits are truly unleashed, and speculation and excess are apparent everywhere. This is not the time to be all in and highly leveraged.

Finally, comes the four years of crisis, crash and recovery.

Note also that this cycle includes the stock market etc. Land leads the way. The stock market may peak a year or 2 later than the land cycle.

On a side note. There is also the Kondratiev cycle [54-60 years, 25-30 up, 25-30 down] involving commodities like Gold etc. This is also ending soon.

The following (image) link gives a decent overview of the previous cycles since the 1950’s. It should make it easier to understand.
https://strawman.com/member/uploads/objects/37/d1ddd9da09baa5c7507444d7edc5192c1450dc.jpeg

During the last phase of the cycle lavish spending occurs, [credit becomes more abundant during the final half of the cycle] and typically worlds tallest buildings are announced, or worlds longest something, etc.

Tallest towers opening in the world at the time of recession after property cycle peak and bust.

The Empire State Building opened in 1931 [It was nicknamed the Empty State Building, it had no tenants].

World Trade Center [Twin towers] opened in 1973 [Briefly the tallest]

Sears Tower [Willis Tower] opened 1973. (Tallest building in the world at that time).

Burj Khalifa opened in January 4 2010. The world’s tallest building and during the GFC recession.

Jeddah Tower in Saudi Arabia, if completed will be the world’s tallest tower, it’s expected open is in 2028 during the next possible recession.

Personally, after listening to Phil Anderson and his research on the economic cycles, it seems very clear the boom is coming to an end. I have seen some of his videos that date back to around 2011 and things have played out exactly as he expected since.

“There’s a law in economics as real as gravity,” Anderson says, “and it’s that all of society’s gains eventually gravitate toward the price of land.”

The information above is less than a drop in the ocean. One

[Timothy]

Peter,

Economic cycles are interesting and have some predictive value. However, they do not take into account when God intervenes in history for His purposes. IMO, God is very much intervening in history right now, both on the world stage and in the USA. So, for me, considering the history of God’s intervention in the past, the circumstances, the condition of His people, and how He has manipulated past kingdoms for His purposes, has much greater predictive value than the study of economic trends. Studying those trends alone is like examining the frequency and amplitude of ripples on a pond while ignoring the real cause and origin of those ripples. One of the features of the end-times is that the natural order and expected cycles are going to be significantly disturbed, even the most stable of cycles — the heavenly bodies. So, personally, I have no faith now at all in past economic cycles, or any other observed cycles, only those I see in Scripture and how they have played out in world history.

Grace & Peace, Tim

[Peter C]

Thanks for the input Tim,

I agree with what you have said, the cycles will mean nothing when God brings about His purposes. I am very aware of that, it would be mental to assume otherwise.

My point is, given your Biblical chronology as outlined in your book, The Time of The End, and assuming it is correct and the two prophets do arrive in 2029 and not 2032, then the current economic cycle is exactly in line with that theory (for the world).

Anything can happen, so I understand we need to see what unfolds as we go forward. I like that you’re flexible in your thinking, even though you are confident in your chronology.

My thinking was, with the expected arrival of the two witnesses in 2029, it fits perfectly with the current land cycle.

I expected this to be the last economic cycle to complete before everything went crazy as we move into the time of the two prophets.

If the current economic cycle does extend for another few years, (beyond 2026) for the USA, then there would be no doubt God has intervened, as this has never happened in the history of the USA. That in itself would be a type of confirmation of God’s intervention.

I am very interested to see how things will play out and can’t wait to see the arrival of the two prophets. I find that very exciting, the Bible coming alive in this way.

[Peter C]

Hi Tim,

I just have some thoughts around what you said back in February on the blog “Seven Fat Cows Redux?” And also more recently.

Tim>>“I was looking for a possible seven-year period of abnormal prosperity to begin somewhere around 2022 as a confirmation of this theory and perhaps as a confirmation that the tentative connection to the Gregorian calendar in my book was correct. But that did not occur then.”

Given the enormous increase in Property, Equities Markets, Gold, Commodities etc since 2022, I am interested in understanding what you think “abnormal prosperity” is? And for whom?

I also think you have dismissed the land cycle hastily and you’re assuming God has not been, or is not presently in control of that particular cycle. (I don’t know either way, no one does). However, at the present time it aligns with one of your possible dates of the arrival of the two prophets, which is 2029.

The increase of wealth since 2022. (Sadly, not for everyone).

Gold was under $700 an ounce in the GFC (2008).

Since September 2022 Gold has risen from around $1600 an ounce to currently around $3860 an ounce, more than double the 2022 low. It is forecast to reach around US$5000 an ounce, before its eventual peak and collapse. (According to Phil Anderson).

It took Gold 14 years to double from 2008 to 2022 and so far less than 3 years to double in 2025 from the 2022 low.

S&P 500 low on October 1 2022 was about 3490 and currently around 6730. Almost double.

Residential property, which accounts for 76% of all global real estate value, stood at US$287.6 trillion in 2022, it is projected to be around US$534 trillion at the end of 2025.

A repeat in progress? 100 years ago the land cycle peaked in 1926 followed by the stock market in 1929. The current cycle is still in line with that possibility.

There are also several major war cycles also due around 2029.

The current economic evidence in my opinion supports that increased prosperity has been occurring since 2022 and we will likely be in a recession during the time of the two prophets in 2029.

Did Egypt’s prosperity (by God’s hand) increase over night? No, it was a steady increase over the 7 years. Egypt had Joseph a man of God in a position of power at that time, who could that be for the USA? Assuming that is, the USA is going to be used in a similar capacity or if at all. And did Egypt have a USD$37 trillion deficit? I’m joking.

Tim, I don’t know what you were expecting to happen? But so far overall wealth has increased in an unprecedented way since 2022, not to mention the US deficit and homelessness. It’s a a real mix of contradictions so far. But nonetheless the economic cycle is thus far on track, and in my opinion should be something for everyone just to be aware of as we move forward, until it is disproved or confirmed with our Biblical framework as the guide.

[Author]

Posts